Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Payne | 38 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| V. Oliver | 36 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Calegari | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 26 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Silva | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Malik | 8 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Washington | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| R. Clarke | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Welsh | 30 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Fortson | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. McDonald | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Britt | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cox | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter