Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +1 (61-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barnes | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Kately | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Bolden | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Thompson | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Myles | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Holmes | 14 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Ali | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Morgan | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Foote | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Smith | 32 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Austin | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Crawford | 27 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| P. Bouli | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Adams | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| H. Banogle | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Pearson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Walsh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter