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2008-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Campbell Fighting Camels East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“

Actual: East Carolina Pirates +21 (86-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Campbell Fighting Camels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Merthie 29 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 2 5 -
J. Hartley 24 0-1 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 1 2 3 9 -
J. Rodriguez 21 4-12 0-1 6-8 8 2 1 0 4 14 9 -
J. Bailey 19 4-8 2-5 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
W. Kossangue 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
K. Vejraska 17 2-6 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 3 6 6 -
A. Celestin 16 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
C. Reynolds 16 4-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
P. Dodson 14 1-4 0-0 8-10 3 0 1 0 1 10 9 -
M. Gwynne 13 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Taylor 11 0-2 0-2 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hinnant 33 2-10 0-5 12-15 3 7 2 0 3 16 15 -
J. Legan 33 9-16 6-12 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 24 16 -
B. Young 31 3-6 1-2 11-11 1 6 1 0 1 18 19 -
D. Morrow 26 2-6 0-0 4-6 6 2 3 0 1 8 12 -
J. Abrams 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 5 7 -
C. Wynn 17 5-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 11 9 -
C. Turner 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Joyner 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
J. Sherrod 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Sargent 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter