Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brooks | 37 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| R. Provitt | 31 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Hayles | 28 | 3-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Kickingstallionsims | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| R. Fitch | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Butler | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Mundadi | 13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| I. White | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Middlebrooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Moorer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.L. Horton | 37 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -2 | - |
| C. Beasley | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Wise | 32 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| S. Stone | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Craft | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Stephens | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| C. Smith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McCauley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Lino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter