Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Meeks | 39 | 5-20 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 2 | - |
| P. Patterson | 37 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| R. Harris | 33 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 6 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| M. Porter | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Liggins | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Miller | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -6 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 32 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 29 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Lawson | 29 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| E. Davis | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. Zeller | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Frasor | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Graves | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter