Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mbunga | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| B. Howard | 33 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 1-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| E. Rush | 28 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Navarre | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Bynum | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brown | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Higgins | 44 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 11-14 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 25 | - |
| N. Tomlinson | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Thorne II | 37 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Dufault | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Jackson-Wilson | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Knutson | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Crawford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Eckloff | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Coney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter