Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mason | 37 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| J. Banks | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Palacios | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| W. Figures | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Pena | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 19 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Proctor | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Kingman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 38 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 10-13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 21 | - |
| A. Ogide | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. McFarland | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| H. Perry | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Simmons | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Carr | 18 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| W. Gardner | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Nigon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter