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2008-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mason 37 4-8 0-3 8-11 10 3 0 2 2 16 21 -
J. Banks 28 3-4 0-0 5-7 3 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
R. Palacios 27 4-7 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
W. Figures 23 3-7 1-3 3-4 1 0 2 0 2 10 4 -
J. Pena 21 2-7 1-4 0-1 3 2 1 0 5 5 -1 -
D. Beitzel 19 5-8 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 13 11 -
M. Proctor 14 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
N. Kingman 14 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 1 3 2 0 -
Y. Bonner 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
T. Montgomery 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walker 38 9-18 3-6 10-13 3 3 3 0 1 31 21 -
A. Ogide 31 6-9 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 0 2 13 12 -
A. McFarland 29 1-8 0-3 5-5 8 0 2 0 4 7 5 -
H. Perry 26 3-10 0-2 3-4 6 2 3 0 2 9 8 -
J. Simmons 19 3-5 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
M. Bocar Ba 18 1-1 0-0 2-6 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Carr 18 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 7 4 -
W. Gardner 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
A. Nigon 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Vandervieren 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter