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UMBC Retrievers 60
@
Morgan State Bears 67
2008-11-17

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 ✓ (4.2 off)
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% - ✓

Actual: Morgan State Bears +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene 40 3-10 3-7 2-4 8 7 3 0 4 11 15 -
D. Proctor 40 5-17 1-2 8-10 8 2 2 1 2 19 13 -
J. Fry 35 2-7 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
R. Flemming 31 4-9 0-0 3-7 4 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
M. Spadafora 31 4-7 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
C. Gilliam 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Wasco 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. McKnight 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Holmes 36 5-13 3-10 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 13 5 -
J. Bolden 31 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 5 2 0 2 8 10 -
K. Thompson 27 5-11 0-0 2-7 2 2 0 0 1 12 4 -
M. Kately 27 3-8 0-1 3-3 8 0 1 0 3 9 7 -
R. Myles 23 2-2 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 5 9 -
R. Barnes 19 3-7 0-2 2-4 0 2 1 1 2 8 3 -
S. Thomas 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ali 10 2-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 1 2 6 10 -
J. Morgan 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. Smith 5 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Foote 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter