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2008-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (27.5 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +37 (89-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Skrelja 31 3-5 0-1 5-5 4 1 0 0 3 11 8 -
P. Sullivan 27 5-14 2-6 3-4 8 3 1 0 3 15 10 -
C. Taylor 24 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Leffelman 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
M. Kelly 21 4-10 2-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
S. Friske 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 2 2 4 3 -
M. Mullery 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
J. Harris 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
S. Kane 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Aldridge 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Gruber 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
N. Hollingsworth 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Vaughan 24 8-12 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 18 8 -
A. Cornelius 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
V. Moldoveanu 22 4-7 3-5 1-2 8 1 0 0 0 12 14 -
D. Smith 20 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 7 5 -
L. Birdsong 18 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 8 10 -
I. Tate 18 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
D. Monroe 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 0 8 11 -
R. Pearson 14 0-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 3 0 0 2 7 -
C. Long 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 2 3 -
M. Morrison 12 7-9 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 2 0 15 13 -
C. Fleming 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Nolan 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
B. Henderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter