Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.3% | 6.7% | -14.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -16 (45-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kurz | 0 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 14 | - |
| H. Scanlon | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Karcic | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Getty | 0 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Grant | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Flaherty | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Lowenthal | 0 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. Moore | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Caskin | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Pina | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
* = starter