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2008-11-17

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes Davidson Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% +12.2 โœ“ (22.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.8 โœ“ (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“

Actual: Davidson Wildcats +35 (99-64). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Curtis 29 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 0 -3 -
J. James 26 3-10 0-0 4-5 11 2 1 1 1 10 14 -
Devon Moore 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 2 -4 -
J. Wells 23 7-17 3-6 4-5 3 1 1 0 0 21 9 -
A. Jalloh 21 1-8 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 1 4 4 -4 -
Andrey Semenov 21 3-6 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 9 9 -
K. Swanston 18 4-7 4-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
D. Thornton 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
B. Louis 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
H. Ratner 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Parker 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Renkin 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Knight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry 31 14-19 4-6 1-1 2 9 4 0 4 33 25 -
A. Lovedale 28 4-7 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 0 1 10 15 -
M. Paulhus Gosselin 28 3-6 0-1 3-4 8 2 3 0 0 9 16 -
S. Rossiter 27 5-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 10 11 -
B. Barr 22 4-10 4-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 12 2 -
W. Archambault 21 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
B. Allison 15 2-2 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
B. McKillop 15 3-6 2-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
D. Nelms 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Civi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Reigel 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Atkinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Bond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter