Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.