Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DuBois | 37 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| V. Teel | 37 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| K. Young | 31 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Hamilton | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| C. Counts | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Deric | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Diederichs | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Sweezy | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Armstead | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - |
| V. Oliver | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Harden | 31 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Calegari | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 23 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Malik | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Silva | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Clark | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Carter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter