Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +26 (74-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Buchanan | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Harper | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Faried | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Stallworth | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Murry | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Hill | 20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Lamb | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Coleman | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Peterson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Echols | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 24 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Beal | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Ogilvy | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| G. Drake | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Walker | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Goulbourne | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| F. Ezeli | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. McClellan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Duffy | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Hinkle | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter