Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Danridge | 31 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| D. Faris | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - |
| C. Toppert | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P. McDonald | 21 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Gary | 21 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| N. Garth | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wills | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stinnett | 32 | 11-16 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| B. Woodfox | 30 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| J. Carter | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Witter | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Walker II | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Young | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Harriman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Korver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Millard | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter