Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gamble | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| C. Betts | 30 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Pierce | 22 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| S. Smiley | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| V. Fedotov | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Boyer | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Boudreau | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Alston | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Robinson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Watt | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Addison | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Mulkey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bright | 39 | 5-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -3 | - |
| S. Martin | 34 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Liles | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| V. Sulskis | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Mays | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Ward | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| V. Cooksey | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Blocker | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Parks | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Niemi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Boudler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter