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2008-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% +14.3 โœ— (20.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% - โœ—
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 โœ— (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 28.4% 71.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -6 (67-73). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gruner 38 0-6 0-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Andrew Brown 35 5-15 4-11 8-10 3 5 2 0 2 22 15 -
J. Kari 27 6-11 2-5 1-3 4 1 3 0 1 15 11 -
D. Benbow 21 3-9 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Mintz 21 3-4 1-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 9 9 -
R. Willen 20 2-4 1-3 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
B. Wheeler 15 3-4 1-2 1-1 3 3 1 0 2 8 9 -
M. Koltun 14 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
J.D. Pelham 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Mower 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Orchowski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Smith 34 4-15 1-5 8-11 9 1 0 0 1 17 11 -
L. Radford 31 6-8 0-0 5-7 13 2 2 1 3 17 24 -
J. Mundweiler 25 1-8 1-8 1-2 1 2 0 0 4 4 -5 -
J. Drummond 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 2 0 -
D. Elwell 20 0-7 0-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -5 -
Chris Martin 16 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
M. Orock 15 3-3 0-0 2-6 6 2 0 1 1 8 13 -
T. Murray 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Clayfell Harris 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
C. Spiller 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
T.J. Czeski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter