Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 31 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| R. Holmes | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 10-13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Agre | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Bell | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Darby | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Dupre' | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Moore | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Shannon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter