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2008-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Bonner 30 1-3 1-2 5-9 3 1 2 0 2 8 9 -
R. Palacios 30 2-5 0-0 2-4 11 5 2 0 5 6 14 -
J. Pena 29 3-7 0-2 1-1 4 1 1 0 4 7 2 -
J. Banks 23 4-10 0-1 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
W. Figures 20 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 6 2 -
J. Mason 19 6-14 1-3 2-4 4 0 1 1 2 15 5 -
D. Beitzel 16 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
N. Kingman 14 2-6 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
M. Proctor 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
T. Montgomery 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Kaba 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 34 1-10 0-5 3-4 4 3 1 0 3 5 0 -
L. Longmire 24 6-12 0-1 3-6 5 1 4 0 1 15 12 -
C. Odia 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
K. Brown 22 2-6 0-2 3-4 1 4 3 0 2 7 7 -
J. Crittle 21 3-6 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 1 2 6 9 -
J. Catron 20 0-7 0-0 2-2 9 0 1 2 2 2 5 -
G. Sim 18 2-7 2-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
M. Dunigan 18 5-9 0-0 3-7 7 0 2 0 1 13 12 -
M. Humphrey 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 3 6 -
D. Wiley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Dorsainvil 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter