Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lassiter | 32 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| J. Streeter | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Thompson | 25 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Shamssud-din | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| G. Anderson | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| P. Guisse | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Akognon | 21 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Miller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Andersen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Benson | 38 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Rybak | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Bush | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 19 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Gough | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. White | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Taylor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Jackson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Moseley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sloan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter