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2008-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (5.3 off)
Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -

Actual: Belmont Bruins +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis 25 3-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 2 8 5 -
T. Montgomery 25 4-7 1-1 2-3 4 0 3 0 6 11 5 -
J. Bedwell 24 1-3 1-2 7-7 2 0 0 0 5 10 4 -
B. Friday 23 3-5 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
C. West 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 4 6 7 -
J. Griffin 21 0-3 0-0 7-12 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
A. King 20 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Friday 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
G. Bermudez 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 3 1 -
K. Johnson 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Merritt 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wicke 29 3-4 2-3 6-6 0 3 5 0 1 14 17 -
S. Dansby 25 4-10 1-5 4-5 3 1 1 0 5 13 3 -
M. Dotson 21 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
A. Renfroe 21 2-6 0-3 3-5 5 2 1 0 4 7 5 -
H. Harris 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
J. Campbell 19 1-3 1-3 0-2 5 4 3 0 0 3 12 -
J. House 18 2-4 1-1 2-2 0 2 1 2 1 7 7 -
K. Belcher 13 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
D. Hanlen 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Hedgepeth 8 0-0 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Rice 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Dejworek 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Stanley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter