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2008-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elgin-Taylor 30 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 0 3 -
R. Staudacher 29 6-10 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
B. Qvale 26 6-11 0-0 3-5 10 0 0 1 1 15 14 -
J. Hasquet 26 3-11 1-3 0-4 4 0 0 0 2 7 -2 -
J. McGillis 24 2-7 0-2 1-3 1 4 1 1 2 5 3 -
M. Taylor 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
D. Selvig 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Johnson 13 1-6 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -4 -
K. Sharp 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
V. Banny 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Stockton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ogide 29 6-8 0-0 8-10 14 2 0 2 1 20 29 -
W. Gardner 29 5-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. McFarland 24 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
M. Walker 23 6-12 1-5 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 17 11 -
J. Carr 20 2-3 1-2 9-10 6 2 1 0 2 14 18 -
H. Perry 19 3-9 0-2 1-2 4 2 2 0 0 7 6 -
M. Bocar Ba 18 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 1 0 2 6 -
A. Nigon 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Vandervieren 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Simmons 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Franklin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
F. Clayman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Annese 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter