Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Qvale | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 26 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. McGillis | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Taylor | 14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Selvig | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Sharp | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Banny | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Stockton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogide | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| W. Gardner | 29 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. McFarland | 24 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Walker | 23 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Carr | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| H. Perry | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Nigon | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Simmons | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Franklin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Clayman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Annese | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter