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2008-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (27.6 off)

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -27 (40-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mouzy 33 6-10 3-6 0-0 2 3 3 0 3 15 10 -
J. Fowler 28 5-9 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 4 12 5 -
B. Patterson 27 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 3 1 8 10 -
M. Smith 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 4 4 -
L. Foster 22 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
S. Edwards 19 5-7 2-2 3-6 2 1 0 1 2 15 10 -
C. Jackson 15 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 3 7 6 -
L. Jackson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 0 8 -
C. Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
W. Burton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Bails 3 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Stewart 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton 31 5-11 0-0 5-8 1 2 0 2 3 15 6 -
T. Clark 30 0-7 0-3 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
W. Dipprey 27 4-10 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 9 5 -
L. Keeler 26 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Hanson 22 3-8 1-3 0-0 7 0 3 0 1 7 8 -
S. Lewis 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -1 -
C. Anderson 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Henning 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 2 1 -2 -
J. Brown 11 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 -
J. Lewis 3 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
R. Darling 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter