Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooks | 34 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 5 | - |
| S. Laurie | 34 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. McFarland | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Weems | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| W. Knapp | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Rhine | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Jehle | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hayward-Mayhew | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hobbs | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Barber | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Waller | 30 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Reed | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Lett | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| B. Knox | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Barrett | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Aihe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Drum | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter