Model Predictions
| Model | Presbyterian Blue Hose | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +26.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +28.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +31 (80-49). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Presbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Johnson | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Pierre Miller | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Al'Lonzo Coleman | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. King | 23 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | -5 | - |
| Aaron Gibbs | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Bostic | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Sligh | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Jazwiecki | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Holmes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler | 26 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Paulus | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 21 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Elliot Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| David McClure | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Martynas Pocius | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Olek Czyz | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter