Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Janel McCarville * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 27 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Loree Moore * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Lisa Willis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 22 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amber Holt | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter