Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kraayeveld | 30 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| L. Moore | 30 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| S. Christon | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| J. McCarville | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 5 | - |
| E. Thorn | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Larkins | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Battle | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Willis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davenport | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Carson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 29 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Holt | 23 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Gardin | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Gruda | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Raymond | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter