Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 35 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Smith | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Powell | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| O. Sanni | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Sam | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 27 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. White | 19 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | - |
| K. Mann | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Whittington | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter