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2008-09-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (103-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 30 11-20 0-1 1-1 4 1 2 0 4 23 6 -
L. Willingham 26 5-8 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 1 13 11 -
D. Taurasi 26 7-14 1-5 4-4 2 3 1 1 2 19 10 -
K. Mazzante 23 4-11 4-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 2 -
K. Miller 20 0-5 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
B. Smith 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 3 6 10 -
O. Scott 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
L. Sanders 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Y. Oga 10 2-3 0-0 3-3 0 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
A. Quigley 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hoffman 32 8-17 4-4 0-0 7 2 2 2 0 20 16 -
K. Douglas 31 6-14 2-6 10-11 4 6 0 0 1 24 19 -
T. Sutton-Brown 30 9-13 0-0 8-12 6 1 1 0 2 26 19 -
T. Bevilaqua 29 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 3 3 -
T. White 23 2-6 0-2 2-3 2 2 0 1 5 6 0 -
T. Catchings 20 3-5 2-2 10-10 9 3 1 2 2 18 26 -
K. Mann 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
D. Lewis 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Ngoyisa 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
A. Feaster 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Bond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter