Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Miller | 34 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 11-13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - |
| L. Willingham | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Farris | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Sanders | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| O. Scott | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 39 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Harding | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Houston | 24 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| N. Quinn | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Anosike | 23 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Moore | 17 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter