Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 9-24 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| K. Miller | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Farris | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| O. Scott | 8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 29 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Nolan | 27 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| P. Pierson | 20 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| O. Sanni | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Braxton | 11 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. Powell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Sam | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Shields | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter