Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +25 (99-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| T. Thompson | 33 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Dixon | 27 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Holmes | 24 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Snow | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Hodges | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Mabika | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 17-18 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 28 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Miller | 24 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Farris | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Willingham | 21 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| L. Sanders | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Scott | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Smith | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Y. Oga | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Quigley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter