Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 38 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| T. Catchings | 38 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| T. White | 35 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5 | - |
| B. Ngoyisa | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Whittington | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Lewis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Bond | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 34 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Miller | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Smith | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Blue | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Gardner | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Murphy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Koehn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter