Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| A. Sandoval * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Warren * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Perry * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| J. Binnie | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Wright | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Searcy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| D. Lighty * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| E. Turner * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| K. Koufos * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| O. Hunter * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Diebler | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Madsen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Titus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter