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2008-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 73.0% 27.0% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -7 (48-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 16 16 -
M. Johnson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 6 7 7 -
K. Huelsman * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
A. Sandoval * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 0 9 -
J. Binnie * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 8 -
C. Little 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
L. Warren 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 4 16 -
C. Wright 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 9 14 -
M. Perry 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Searcy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Richardson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 4 0 2 7 14 -
A. Slack * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 2 1 1 7 23 -
D. Odiakosa * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 14 17 -
O. Eldridge * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 10 20 -
E. Holloway * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 7 -
D. Johnson 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 2 8 -
L. Dyer 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
A. Rubin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Sampay 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter