Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betty Lennox * | 35 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Alison Bales * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tamera Young | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Katie Mattera | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ann Strother | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chioma Nnamaka | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Hoffman * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Tan White | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Bernadette Ngoyisa | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LaToya Bond | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allison Feaster | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter