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2008-08-29

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kraayeveld 32 4-16 3-9 0-0 5 0 4 1 0 11 5 -
J. McCarville 31 8-13 0-0 5-6 4 1 0 0 2 21 11 -
S. Christon 27 5-12 4-9 2-3 2 3 0 0 1 16 8 -
L. Moore 24 0-5 0-1 1-2 3 7 1 0 2 1 5 -
E. Carson 19 2-7 1-3 3-4 0 0 1 0 2 8 0 -
E. Larkins 9 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 1 3 2 4 -
L. Mitchell 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
E. Thorn 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
L. Willis 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Battle 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Davenport 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 37 3-13 1-3 7-8 6 6 0 0 4 14 9 -
D. Nolan 34 11-17 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 3 26 11 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 6-10 0-0 3-3 7 3 1 0 0 15 16 -
A. Hornbuckle 22 2-4 0-0 1-4 6 4 1 0 1 5 11 -
K. Braxton 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 0 11 14 -
S. Sam 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 0 5 -
O. Sanni 16 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 7 6 -
K. Schumacher 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
A. Shields 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter