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2008-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Florida Gators +28 (82-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett * 24 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 9 -5 -
D. Watts * 22 3-6 1-3 3-3 6 0 0 1 1 10 10 -
J. Dotzler * 18 1-1 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
N. Bahe * 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 3 2 -
K. Lawson Jr. * 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Witter 29 6-12 0-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 13 5 -
B. Woodfox 23 2-13 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -9 -
C. Harriman 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 3 -
P. Hibma 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Korver 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Brandt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Sitzmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes * 31 3-7 1-1 4-5 13 11 5 0 4 11 29 -
W. Hodge * 27 5-10 2-6 3-4 3 3 2 0 0 15 13 -
J. Lucas * 26 4-10 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 10 2 -
D. Werner * 22 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
M. Speights * 19 6-8 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 14 12 -
C. Parsons 24 2-5 1-3 1-2 6 0 2 0 0 6 9 -
A. Tyus 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Mitchell 17 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 3 1 2 8 7 -
A. Allen 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
H. Fricke 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter