Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| G. Wilkinson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | - |
| K. Clark * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Newbold * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Wesley * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| P. Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| B. Richardson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Odiakosa * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| A. Slack * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | - |
| E. Holloway * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Dyer | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Sampay | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Rubin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter