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2008-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 26.5% 73.5% -
Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 7 23 24 -
J. Warren 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 13 23 -
R. Bishop 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 1 7 -
M. Sikes 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 7 13 -
J. Williamson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 3 14 19 -
A. Hrycaniuk 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 3 9 -
L. Davis 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
A. McClain 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Ruffin 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 1 7 16 -
J. Crouch 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 20 24 -
T. Wilson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 1 1 15 23 -
M. Salley 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 3 7 15 -
A. Warren 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
D. Collins 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
R. Austin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
W. Egolf 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter