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2008-03-19

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +24 (73-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. White * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -
R. Amoroso * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 19 25 -
D.J. Gay * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
R. Williams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 9 11 -
M. Thomas * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
L. Wade 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 11 17 -
C. Lamb 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Pastorek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 16 23 -
J. Lucas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 1 8 13 -
M. Speights * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 18 23 -
D. Werner * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 0 9 19 -
W. Hodge * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 7 14 -
C. Parsons 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 5 13 -
A. Tyus 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 0 4 14 -
A. Allen 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Mitchell 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
H. Fricke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter