Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +24 (73-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Amoroso * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| D.J. Gay * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Wade | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Lamb | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Calathes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Speights * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| D. Werner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| W. Hodge * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Parsons | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Tyus | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| A. Allen | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Fricke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter