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2008-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 60.2% 39.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (17.7 off)

Actual: UMass Minutemen +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Bell * 35 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 0 0 9 -
J. Alexander * 33 7-14 3-6 4-5 7 1 0 0 1 21 14 -
M. Kingsley * 24 4-13 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 3 10 -4 -
N. Shaw * 24 2-5 0-2 1-2 9 1 1 1 2 5 10 -
G. Fonzie * 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 5 4 -
E. Williams 25 5-12 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 10 5 -
B. Akpan 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 2 6 6 -
K. Jacobs 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Weaver 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Davis 4 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Rogers 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brower * 30 3-6 2-3 0-0 12 3 0 0 0 8 17 -
C. Lowe * 28 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 7 3 0 3 7 12 -
R. Harris * 26 6-13 4-10 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 16 7 -
G. Forbes * 25 6-13 0-3 7-7 2 1 0 0 2 19 7 -
D. Milligan * 24 11-14 0-0 2-5 9 2 2 7 0 24 30 -
M. Glass 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
G. Correia 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Bonner 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Gaffney 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 1 3 -
S. Jones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Lo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter