Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Bell * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Alexander * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| M. Kingsley * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -4 | - |
| N. Shaw * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| G. Fonzie * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Williams | 25 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Akpan | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Weaver | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Davis | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Rogers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brower * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| C. Lowe * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| R. Harris * | 26 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| G. Forbes * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D. Milligan * | 24 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 30 | - |
| M. Glass | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Correia | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Bonner | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Gaffney | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Lo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter