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2008-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 32 2-10 1-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 5 -2 -
C. Frazier 32 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Randle 31 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 4 1 -
C. Brock 29 4-8 0-1 2-3 5 3 1 0 0 10 11 -
S. Pruitt 27 6-10 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 0 0 13 11 -
T. Meacham 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Davis 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Jordan 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Tisdale 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Semrau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Holdren 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Alexander 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hicks 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Landry 32 4-7 2-3 0-0 6 4 0 2 1 10 14 -
J. Krabbenhoft 32 4-8 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 8 9 -
M. Flowers 30 3-9 3-5 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 9 8 -
T. Hughes 27 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
B. Butch 23 5-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 12 8 -
J. Bohannon 16 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
G. Stiemsma 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
T. Jarmusz 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Leuer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Nankivil 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Valentyn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.P. Gavinski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Gullikson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter