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2008-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Humphrey 33 2-8 0-3 2-3 6 5 0 0 1 6 8 -
A. Jackson 27 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 2 12 8 -
J. Price 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Woodbury 26 2-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
S. Gaines 25 5-8 4-7 6-6 5 4 1 1 4 20 19 -
C. Butler 22 2-3 2-3 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 8 11 -
D. Bliss 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Z. Swansey 17 1-4 0-1 1-3 3 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
T. Brewer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon 37 2-8 1-6 2-2 3 7 0 0 3 7 6 -
B. Stewart 35 3-14 3-6 1-2 6 4 0 0 0 10 6 -
B. Hansbrough 34 2-10 2-8 6-6 2 4 1 0 0 12 9 -
J. Varnado 33 0-0 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 0 3 10 -
C. Rhodes 33 9-18 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 2 2 22 10 -
R. Johnson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
E. Bailey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Johnson 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 6 6 -
P. Turner 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter