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2008-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 35 8-18 4-10 6-6 0 1 1 0 1 26 9 -
K. Lucas 33 7-13 2-2 2-4 2 3 1 0 3 18 8 -
T. Walton 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 5 3 0 2 0 9 -
R. Morgan 22 2-5 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
G. Suton 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 0 2 6 10 -
D. Naymick 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Allen 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Gray 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Ibok 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
D. Summers 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Herzog 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
I. Dahlman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 36 2-5 2-4 1-3 4 1 0 1 3 7 5 -
J. Krabbenhoft 34 1-3 0-0 9-10 10 2 1 1 4 11 18 -
M. Landry 32 4-15 1-3 9-13 9 1 0 0 1 18 12 -
B. Butch 32 6-10 2-5 5-9 7 1 0 1 0 19 18 -
T. Hughes 26 1-7 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
M. Flowers 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 3 1 2 4 5 -
G. Stiemsma 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Leuer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Jarmusz 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter