Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Duffy | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| P. Johnson | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Morris | 0 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -2 | - |
| L. Dixon | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Q. Davis | 0 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Weissmann | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hartill | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Beggin | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Marsh | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| B. Kimble | 0 | 8-19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
* = starter