Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | 39 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Zeglinski | 37 | 6-17 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 3 | - |
| J. von Rosenberg | 34 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| M. Sabia | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Minor | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. McLendon | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Torres | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Glowiak | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Baker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greene | 39 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Proctor | 33 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 32 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Barbosa | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Hodges | 25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Fry | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Massey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Adkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. McKnight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter