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2008-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (14.7 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Turner 39 5-13 3-6 3-3 2 4 1 0 2 16 8 -
J. Zeglinski 37 6-17 5-14 0-0 3 3 4 0 7 17 3 -
J. von Rosenberg 34 6-8 3-4 0-0 5 6 3 0 1 15 20 -
M. Sabia 27 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
A. Minor 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
W. McLendon 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
A. Torres 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Glowiak 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Baker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene 39 4-7 4-6 0-0 6 8 1 0 1 12 19 -
D. Proctor 33 10-14 0-0 3-5 6 2 3 1 2 23 19 -
M. Spadafora 32 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 9 6 -
R. Barbosa 29 4-10 1-5 5-6 2 1 2 0 4 14 5 -
B. Hodges 25 5-10 3-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 13 10 -
C. Johnson 21 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
J. Fry 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 6 -
T. Massey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Adkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. McKnight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter