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2008-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier 45 0-4 0-3 0-2 5 2 0 1 5 0 -1 -
D. McCamey 42 9-14 6-6 2-2 7 3 0 0 3 26 19 -
B. Randle 33 3-7 0-1 3-6 4 4 0 0 2 9 8 -
S. Pruitt 33 7-9 0-0 0-4 9 1 1 1 4 14 13 -
T. Meacham 27 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 3 8 -
M. Davis 17 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
J. Jordan 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 4 2 -
C. Brock 7 3-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Tisdale 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kramer 37 3-6 0-1 3-3 0 5 3 0 2 9 9 -
R. Hummel 36 2-4 2-3 4-4 11 2 2 2 2 10 21 -
E. Moore 36 8-14 5-8 1-2 0 2 1 0 2 22 9 -
K. Grant 35 5-12 2-7 0-1 1 2 2 1 2 12 4 -
N. Calasan 28 2-8 1-4 1-3 7 1 0 0 4 6 2 -
T. Crump 16 1-5 0-1 3-4 1 0 2 0 0 5 3 -
S. Martin 15 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -3 -
M. Green 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
J. Johnson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter