Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Riley | 41 | 5-16 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Gee | 40 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Jemison | 40 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Pickett | 20 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Knox | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Hillman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Dill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 44 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. Stewart | 44 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 43 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 42 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Varnado | 40 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| E. Bailey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Turner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter