Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (69-67). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykal Riley * | 41 | 5-16 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Demetrius Jemison * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Richard Hendrix * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Rico Pickett * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Hollinger | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Yamene Coleman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Knox | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Senario Hillman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Dill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamont Gordon * | 44 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Barry Stewart * | 44 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough * | 43 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Charles Rhodes * | 42 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado * | 40 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Elgin Bailey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ravern Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Phil Turner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter